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Hawkish Fedspeak even before the energy price shock second-order effects kick in.
Equities move ever upwards, yields surge, gold drops and oil prices plummet in May.
Confidence holds up, but inflation concerns remain elevated.
Challenges include fixed income volatility, currency divergence and equity alpha.
Europe’s slowing growth and rising inflation limit both monetary and fiscal options.
Falling US service activity flashes a warning signal.
Wild volatility in bond markets as equities continue to soar.
Investors anticipate a beat-and-raise to validate the AI buildout theme in Q2.
Is it a short term rise in inflation expectations or fiscal dominance?
Fiscal concerns and energy insecurity weigh on growth and inflation.
Fed–ECB divergence may sustain the dollar debasement theme.
